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AXN-2026-09-21-00455

ETHUSDTSHORTBitcoin Wizardposted 2026-09-21 16:02 UTCclosed 2026-10-02 08:18 UTCwin

The signal, its history and the evidence behind its result. Verify this record independently ↓

Record integrity

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External timestamps

11/11 Rekor entries · 10/11 Bitcoin anchors

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The result, and where its numbers come from

Every figure here is Trading Core's. This page substitutes them into the formula the methodology publishes; it does not do the division itself.

The R, with the numbers in it
R = (exit − entry)÷(entry − stop),signed for direction
(2,627 − 2,776.47)÷(2,776.47 − 2,977)
= +0.75R
Entry the R was measured from2,776.47
Stop the R was divided by2,977
Exit2,627
Unleveraged price move+5.38%

Entered at market — no price was posted, so the weighted fill price is what the R was measured from.

The call was posted at 2× leverage. Neither figure above uses it: R and the price move are both measured on one full position, unleveraged.

Which exit, and the market evidence for it
Exit reachedTP1
EvidenceCONFIRMED_CANDLE
VenueBYBIT · ETHUSDT
Exit at2026-09-24 09:35 UTC
Candlevirtual-fill:35fcf60f874493f1077bd7887749f1510b00e7f78f2b735c24aaa4ac5e0220d6

The signal as posted

The structured levels, exactly as they reached the record. The analyst's own message is never reproduced here — only what it said in numbers.

Entries
CMPMARKET—
DCADCA2,800
Stop as posted
2,977
CANDLE_CLOSE
Leverage as posted
2×
Targets
TP12,627
TP22,477
TP32,201

Posted as Discord message 1551624566403629127. Open it in Discord →

What happened, in order

Every canonical event, including the ones later superseded. They are flagged rather than removed, because there is one attestation record per event and hiding them would leave records below corresponding to nothing.

Opened
2026-09-21 16:02 UTC
Target reached
2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Entry filled at 2,800
2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Stop moved
2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Partial taken, 33.33% of the position
2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Average entry reported at 2,781
2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Note recorded
2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Note recorded
2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Leverage changed
2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Entry filled at 2,763
2026-09-23 14:34 UTC

Result after trading costs

Compare the signal’s gross result with its result after estimated trading costs.

Follower R · after estimated costs+0.74R
Round-trip cost−0.01R
Follower price move+5.29%
Cost as price move−0.09%

The published signal result with estimated entry and exit fees and slippage applied. Costs reflect the order type for each leg.

Fees and execution assumptions
Maker fee2 bps
Taker fee5.5 bps
Market slippage2 bps
Stop slippage5 bps
The legs this call resolved to
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was there — TAKER, 5.5 bps fee, 2 bps slippage
EXIT: the exit is a published target, which rests in the book — MAKER, 2 bps fee
Every leg in the table
ENTRY: a limit, range or DCA entry, which rests in the book — MAKER, 2 bps
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was there — TAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage
ENTRY: a stop entry, which crosses the book when it triggers — TAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the exit is a published target, which rests in the book — MAKER, 2 bps
EXIT: the exit is a stop, break-even included — TAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the analyst closed or trimmed the position by hand — TAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage

Uses the published signal’s entry and exit convention. Your result depends on your fills, fee tier and exit choices. Read from benchmark policy axion-bybit-linear-v4 v4.

Verify this call yourself

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#1opening
Record committed2026-09-22 23:54 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-21 16:02 UTC
Published hashb42939acd50549eaa8feacb4ac8f4166410ed4e5381608f7ad816f215d563c0c
The exact bytes that were hashed (2,313 characters)
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Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/1.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-22.jsonl line 107 →2026-09-22 23:54 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2912193220 →2026-09-22 23:56 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,205 →2026-09-23 01:59 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 38efdae →2026-09-23 02:00 UTC
#2target_reached
Record committed2026-09-23 14:49 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Published hashd90fded3798a8bd6694e8f7b2e46713ef3dbf4bca66e7cd430f19499a009ea31
Previous record's hashb42939acd50549eaa8feacb4ac8f4166410ed4e5381608f7ad816f215d563c0c
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,508 characters)
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Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/2.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-23.jsonl line 43 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2921306969 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,289 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c086927 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
#3entry_filled
Record committed2026-09-23 14:49 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Published hash6ab2469b03262d5b5eb320ccdc2671138c62b5fc3af3d927e899d808c89c81f4
Previous record's hashd90fded3798a8bd6694e8f7b2e46713ef3dbf4bca66e7cd430f19499a009ea31
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,504 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-09-23T14:34:04.000000Z","id":"asv2:4518b2bce599329fae63c2772194a3556c8c0175","observed_at":"2026-09-23T14:49:02.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-09-23T14:49:02.754498Z","semantic":"OBSERVATION","type":"ENTRY_FILLED"},"kind":"entry_filled","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":"DCA","leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":"2800","semantic_kind":"OBSERVATION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-09-23T14:34:04.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"d90fded3798a8bd6694e8f7b2e46713ef3dbf4bca66e7cd430f19499a009ea31","record_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455/3","record_number":"3","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"0bb29be44d9f30f4ccc78b08c5b8be5f5551b0c75995911ae190c38f8ab49a2b","schema":"axion-attestation/2","signal_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":"8119f3c6efc6687dfc44028b3e33445ca52efd046260aa6e31df6b2d6f68ed96","event_key":"1552327196713025678:e593a9e4d97b:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1552327196713025678","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"source_record":{"record_hash":"5e0f4cfa1d47f5c0aed63507042dc68bd86c53db365b104d20b3fb1baa687a2b","record_id":"AXM-2026-09-23-01642/1"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"ETHUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/3.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-23.jsonl line 44 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2921307264 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,289 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c086927 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
#4stop_move
Record committed2026-09-23 14:49 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Published hash00022176a8ecc02da4cc75bb86e3c34a0fbdf529031f858217958b060e5b5b2f
Previous record's hash6ab2469b03262d5b5eb320ccdc2671138c62b5fc3af3d927e899d808c89c81f4
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,655 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-09-23T14:34:04.000000Z","id":"asv2:6d9fa3e6fd89d0d256f69332384b0cfdc3f6f8ea","observed_at":"2026-09-23T14:49:02.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-09-23T14:49:02.754498Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"STOP_MOVED_TO_BREAK_EVEN"},"kind":"stop_move","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":{"at_break_even":true,"candle_interval_minutes":null,"condition_operator":null,"price":null,"trigger_mode":"PRICE_TOUCH","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-09-23T14:34:04.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"6ab2469b03262d5b5eb320ccdc2671138c62b5fc3af3d927e899d808c89c81f4","record_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455/4","record_number":"4","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"6948e3a41e0a982538904369fc69bfcd01c5b5cf0cf9f2806252daf17c99b92c","schema":"axion-attestation/2","signal_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":"8119f3c6efc6687dfc44028b3e33445ca52efd046260aa6e31df6b2d6f68ed96","event_key":"1552327196713025678:e593a9e4d97b:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1552327196713025678","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"source_record":{"record_hash":"5e0f4cfa1d47f5c0aed63507042dc68bd86c53db365b104d20b3fb1baa687a2b","record_id":"AXM-2026-09-23-01642/1"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"ETHUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/4.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-23.jsonl line 45 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2921307586 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,289 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c086927 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
#5partial
Record committed2026-09-23 14:49 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Published hash6e7adc1fc1af94beff86882c246b0043a81135cd369fda630196e699f8b58464
Previous record's hash00022176a8ecc02da4cc75bb86e3c34a0fbdf529031f858217958b060e5b5b2f
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,510 characters)
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Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/5.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-23.jsonl line 46 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2921307975 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,289 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c086927 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
#6average_entry
Record committed2026-09-23 14:49 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Published hash5da5fa3a6598d04aead959c09405446cab97702da27edb35e704c9e692b2e882
Previous record's hash6e7adc1fc1af94beff86882c246b0043a81135cd369fda630196e699f8b58464
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,514 characters)
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Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/6.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-23.jsonl line 47 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2921308262 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,289 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c086927 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
#7note
Record committed2026-09-23 14:49 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Published hash00e2cca5176fb78b98cbe6f11b4963e349d01d558691efd6c832310146ff6416
Previous record's hash5da5fa3a6598d04aead959c09405446cab97702da27edb35e704c9e692b2e882
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,477 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-09-23T14:34:04.000000Z","id":"asv2:a0ae3d901ee100795a81ede498929c4c01987788","observed_at":"2026-09-23T14:49:02.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-09-23T14:49:02.754498Z","semantic":"NOTE","type":"NOTE_ADDED"},"kind":"note","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"NOTE","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-09-23T14:34:04.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"5da5fa3a6598d04aead959c09405446cab97702da27edb35e704c9e692b2e882","record_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455/7","record_number":"7","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"640c204e7b169bc81131e89872f39c4e7fb00de7c6976bcae0383c77e3fabb60","schema":"axion-attestation/2","signal_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":"8119f3c6efc6687dfc44028b3e33445ca52efd046260aa6e31df6b2d6f68ed96","event_key":"1552327196713025678:e593a9e4d97b:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1552327196713025678","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"source_record":{"record_hash":"5e0f4cfa1d47f5c0aed63507042dc68bd86c53db365b104d20b3fb1baa687a2b","record_id":"AXM-2026-09-23-01642/1"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"ETHUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/7.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-23.jsonl line 48 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2921308539 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,289 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c086927 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
#8note
Record committed2026-09-23 14:49 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Published hash180f8ce99b8ba7339702d4c6d1afb84dddc3fbf4c4e905bc808b1816e7f53ce8
Previous record's hash00e2cca5176fb78b98cbe6f11b4963e349d01d558691efd6c832310146ff6416
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,477 characters)
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Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/8.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-23.jsonl line 49 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2921308858 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,289 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c086927 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
#9leverage
Record committed2026-09-23 14:49 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Published hashb7aab1bf2bcb9c29c49e0c4f55f654fb6175d7cb91d61047543f610c02ff3c96
Previous record's hash180f8ce99b8ba7339702d4c6d1afb84dddc3fbf4c4e905bc808b1816e7f53ce8
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,500 characters)
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Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/9.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-23.jsonl line 50 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2921309199 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,289 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c086927 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
#10entry_filled
Record committed2026-09-23 14:49 UTC · signal posted 2026-09-23 14:34 UTC
Published hash4707801f887ef2d206d83548e87051e2074bbe581459eff00895c1fe251e257c
Previous record's hashb7aab1bf2bcb9c29c49e0c4f55f654fb6175d7cb91d61047543f610c02ff3c96
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,506 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-09-23T14:34:04.000000Z","id":"asv2:f8a84ccaceed3edb5e26ccae60a79538d0bd9ee7","observed_at":"2026-09-23T14:49:02.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-09-23T14:49:02.754498Z","semantic":"OBSERVATION","type":"ENTRY_FILLED"},"kind":"entry_filled","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":"CMP","leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":"2763","semantic_kind":"OBSERVATION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-09-23T14:34:04.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"b7aab1bf2bcb9c29c49e0c4f55f654fb6175d7cb91d61047543f610c02ff3c96","record_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455/10","record_number":"10","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"005554c4e8d60a5cc152fc1edc0cb10769ef19f98e55374a57a8f372512ca19f","schema":"axion-attestation/2","signal_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":"8119f3c6efc6687dfc44028b3e33445ca52efd046260aa6e31df6b2d6f68ed96","event_key":"1552327196713025678:e593a9e4d97b:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1552327196713025678","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"source_record":{"record_hash":"5e0f4cfa1d47f5c0aed63507042dc68bd86c53db365b104d20b3fb1baa687a2b","record_id":"AXM-2026-09-23-01642/1"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"ETHUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/10.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-23.jsonl line 51 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 2921309578 →2026-09-23 14:49 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 968,289 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c086927 →2026-09-23 16:50 UTC
#11result
Record committed2026-10-02 08:19 UTC
Published hashf9c18986aa62115bbc0845379106d9ad767c4a2186837c83a7144aa1d92918f1
Previous record's hash4707801f887ef2d206d83548e87051e2074bbe581459eff00895c1fe251e257c
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,485 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":null,"kind":"result","levels":null,"posted_at":null,"previous_record_hash":"4707801f887ef2d206d83548e87051e2074bbe581459eff00895c1fe251e257c","record_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455/11","record_number":"11","restates":null,"result":{"calculation_version":"1","classification":"WIN","closed_at":"2026-10-02T08:18:59.999000Z","entry_price":"2776.469455307262569832","evidence_identity":"virtual-fill:35fcf60f874493f1077bd7887749f1510b00e7f78f2b735c24aaa4ac5e0220d6","evidence_kind":"CONFIRMED_CANDLE","evidence_label":"TP1","exit_at":"2026-09-24T09:35:59.999000Z","exit_price":"2627","exit_reason":"STOP_LOSS","move_pct":"5.38","optimistic_result_hash":"dd6da55acc49832a2f4fb53a2c47027e479c59f9e67905520f7835a6a0a5e8e5","outcome_state":"FINAL_STOPPED","policy_hash":"c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031","policy_key":"axion-bybit-linear-v4","policy_version":"4","portfolio":"official-v4","projector_version":"25","r":"0.75","result_key":"60d8ebb5c14eb340a8d85a9791d5996c5da69d409d3ba46efe40d97991189aa4","strict_result_hash":"fb0c2e6c02da56d024786b2dd9f2dd99078e5e29766f8413d64d2a3fab224034","venue":"BYBIT","venue_symbol":"ETHUSDT"},"salt":"1f922670469ba14533054b5d6f8fac819605079101e8c2ee8114927c3abca863","schema":"axion-attestation/2","signal_id":"AXN-2026-09-21-00455","source":null,"source_record":null,"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"ETHUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-09-21-00455/11.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-10-02.jsonl line 13 →2026-10-02 08:19 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 3051340621 →2026-10-02 08:19 UTC
OpenTimestampssubmittedsubmitted, waiting for a Bitcoin block — the calendars commit in batches
Proof fileanchoredcommit 2f3b51f →2026-10-02 08:19 UTC

Every record above is published in Axion's public transparency repository, alongside the signing key and a description of the format.

Which engines produced these figures

official-v4
Portfolio
axion-bybit-linear-v4
Policy
4
Policy version
v25
Projector
v1
Calculation
2026-10-02 10:11 UTC
Read at
Policy hash c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031