Skip to content
← The ledger

AXN-2026-08-18-00279

ARBUSDTLONGgaijinposted 2026-08-18 15:18 UTCclosed 2026-08-19 19:32 UTCwin

Everything below comes from Axion's own record of this call. You do not have to take any of it on trust ↓

The result, and where its numbers come from

Every figure here is Trading Core's. This page substitutes them into the formula the methodology publishes; it does not do the division itself.

The R, with the numbers in it
R = (exit − entry)÷(entry − stop),signed for direction
(0.083260.075)÷(0.0750.069)
= +1.38R
Entry the R was measured from0.075
Stop the R was divided by0.069
Exit0.08326
Unleveraged price move+11.01%
Which exit, and the market evidence for it
Exit reachedCLOSE
EvidenceCONFIRMED_CANDLE
VenueBYBIT · ARBUSDT
Exit at2026-08-19 19:33 UTC
Candlevirtual-fill:8e113c9864313edee22bb1310e223a9e42f5ef24ee60be7bcddedc54215b9cf2

The signal as posted

The structured levels, exactly as they reached the record. The analyst's own message is never reproduced here — only what it said in numbers.

Entries
EntryLIMIT0.075
DCA 1DCA0.0733
DCA 2DCA0.0706
Stop as posted
0.069
CANDLE_CLOSE
Leverage as posted
Targets
TP10.0769
TP20.0787
TP30.0815

Posted as Discord message 1539292342765494346. Open it in Discord

What happened, in order

Every canonical event, including the ones later superseded. They are flagged rather than removed, because there is one attestation record per event and hiding them would leave records below corresponding to nothing.

Opened
2026-08-18 15:18 UTC
Target reached
2026-08-19 11:52 UTC
Stop moved
2026-08-19 11:52 UTC
Closed
2026-08-19 19:32 UTC
Target reached
2026-08-19 19:32 UTC

What a follower would have made

A modelled figure, published beside the measured one and never instead of it.

Follower R (net, modelled)+1.37R
Round-trip cost−0.01R
Follower price move+10.91%
Cost as price move−0.10%

Modelled after the fact, not measured: the published R less one round trip of fees and slippage. It assumes no funding cost and no delay between the call being posted and the order being placed, so a real follower who held through a funding window, or who was slower than the analyst, paid more than this.

What that cost was calculated from
Maker fee2 bps
Taker fee5.5 bps
Market slippage2 bps
Stop slippage5 bps
The legs this call resolved to
ENTRY: a limit, range or DCA entry, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps fee
EXIT: the analyst closed or trimmed the position by handTAKER, 5.5 bps fee, 2 bps slippage
Every leg in the table
ENTRY: a limit, range or DCA entry, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was thereTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage
ENTRY: a stop entry, which crosses the book when it triggersTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the exit is a published target, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
EXIT: the exit is a stop, break-even includedTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the analyst closed or trimmed the position by handTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage

Funding: not applied. Execution delay: not applied. Read from benchmark policy axion-bybit-linear-v4 v4.

Verify this call yourself

Each record below is a small document that was hashed when it was written, and the hash was published in three places. Your browser recomputes them from the bytes; the anchors are links you follow yourself.

Checking 6 records…

Recomputing each hash in this browser.

#1result
Committed2026-09-05 09:17 UTC
Published hashc79fd4a386c71e513a80c7f83395c707b961fd78ae798cb32c32761577463f14
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,389 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":null,"kind":"result","levels":null,"posted_at":null,"previous_record_hash":null,"record_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279/1","record_number":"1","restates":null,"result":{"calculation_version":"1","classification":"WIN","closed_at":"2026-08-19T19:33:00.000000Z","entry_price":"0.075","evidence_identity":"virtual-fill:8e113c9864313edee22bb1310e223a9e42f5ef24ee60be7bcddedc54215b9cf2","evidence_kind":"CONFIRMED_CANDLE","evidence_label":"CLOSE","exit_at":"2026-08-19T19:33:00.000000Z","exit_price":"0.08326","exit_reason":"TRADE_CLOSED","move_pct":"11.01","optimistic_result_hash":"04a4d3a0961d27135e82256b78cd03c3f979ec2233277a1649baf9de0c7c67d8","outcome_state":"FINAL_CLOSED","policy_hash":"c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031","policy_key":"axion-bybit-linear-v4","policy_version":"4","portfolio":"official-v4","projector_version":"23","r":"1.38","result_key":"a84ef8286901a877a0c599265327d100361c1d42821140caf2a3c08b7a1236ac","strict_result_hash":"21650f7f3348baf67b06c4df35425f1a474e7529f95372715fd524d979972c8a","venue":"BYBIT","venue_symbol":"ARBUSDT"},"salt":"40bcfb524f4fb497298dfaebabf96562e59900d8c14421cd615bea02bc4a12dc","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279","source":null,"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-522797407788859393","instrument":"ARBUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"LONG"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-18-00279/1.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 7252026-09-05 09:28 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27236068062026-09-05 09:46 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5952026-09-05 13:20 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit f4648ee2026-09-05 13:42 UTC
#2opening
Committed2026-09-05 09:36 UTC · posted 2026-08-18 15:18 UTC
Published hash2bb00fdee1627e1f474d5c62856577c5ab91eff719ccfc8fe3bbd81ba2456bf2
Previous record's hashc79fd4a386c71e513a80c7f83395c707b961fd78ae798cb32c32761577463f14
The exact bytes that were hashed (2,369 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-18T15:18:13.000000Z","id":"asv2:000404350479584425a81a0a6bc1f9de252661fa","observed_at":"2026-08-18T15:19:45.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-18T15:19:47.940518Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"TRADE_OPENED"},"kind":"opening","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"Entry","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":"0.075","price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"LIMIT"},{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"DCA 1","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":"0.0733","price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"DCA"},{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"DCA 2","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":"0.0706","price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"DCA"}],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":{"at_break_even":false,"candle_interval_minutes":"1440","condition_operator":"CLOSE_BELOW","price":"0.069","trigger_mode":"CANDLE_CLOSE","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"0.0769","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP1","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"0.0787","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP2","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"0.0815","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP3","trigger_price_type":"LAST"}]},"posted_at":"2026-08-18T15:18:13.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"c79fd4a386c71e513a80c7f83395c707b961fd78ae798cb32c32761577463f14","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279/2","record_number":"2","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"51741cc438d02bcd3851ba6ae595570de516b0284ffd3e6c432ddbe4ec19adaf","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279","source":{"analyst_id":"522797407788859393","channel_id":"1496213146476740708","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1539292342765494346:7fe3d48b04cc:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1539292342765494346","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-522797407788859393","instrument":"ARBUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"LONG"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-18-00279/2.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 15642026-09-05 09:43 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27239025702026-09-05 10:17 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:37 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#3target_reached
Committed2026-09-05 09:36 UTC · posted 2026-08-19 11:52 UTC
Published hash9768f0bf56b9943b09ebc3f92f32d1645d78d3bd3004530557b6a3e2ca54f38b
Previous record's hash2bb00fdee1627e1f474d5c62856577c5ab91eff719ccfc8fe3bbd81ba2456bf2
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,310 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-19T11:52:34.000000Z","id":"asv2:786d581c4e80e68fd4c05df6f85daedc1d48b51b","observed_at":"2026-08-19T11:53:08.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-19T11:53:10.231727Z","semantic":"OBSERVATION","type":"TARGET_HIT"},"kind":"target_reached","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":"TP1","leverage":null,"quantity_basis":"REMAINING","quantity_pct":"40","reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"OBSERVATION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-19T11:52:34.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"2bb00fdee1627e1f474d5c62856577c5ab91eff719ccfc8fe3bbd81ba2456bf2","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279/3","record_number":"3","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"7e07e6ab7ebab3ca841dc7ca3ab9ceaa7234196861420589618a34db3e4db9b2","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279","source":{"analyst_id":"522797407788859393","channel_id":"1496213146476740708","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1539602978204549322:c9a15e5f6b7a:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1539602978204549322","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-522797407788859393","instrument":"ARBUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"LONG"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-18-00279/3.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 15652026-09-05 09:43 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27239031112026-09-05 10:17 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:37 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#4stop_move
Committed2026-09-05 09:36 UTC · posted 2026-08-19 11:52 UTC
Published hash4e2216709b01e6e5297c4509cbdeec7eebd9dfaf2783b62fe4565018bec601da
Previous record's hash9768f0bf56b9943b09ebc3f92f32d1645d78d3bd3004530557b6a3e2ca54f38b
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,456 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-19T11:52:34.000000Z","id":"asv2:88a47f71920ca4e60664445ac7b178fe3b8de426","observed_at":"2026-08-19T11:53:08.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-19T11:53:10.231727Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"STOP_MOVED_TO_BREAK_EVEN"},"kind":"stop_move","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":{"at_break_even":true,"candle_interval_minutes":null,"condition_operator":null,"price":null,"trigger_mode":"PRICE_TOUCH","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-19T11:52:34.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"9768f0bf56b9943b09ebc3f92f32d1645d78d3bd3004530557b6a3e2ca54f38b","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279/4","record_number":"4","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"86e3f26ddb6112b2dd722717f5a504513e5fc6d8b64ea6c57cd1d238bd4a6a57","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279","source":{"analyst_id":"522797407788859393","channel_id":"1496213146476740708","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1539602978204549322:c9a15e5f6b7a:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1539602978204549322","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-522797407788859393","instrument":"ARBUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"LONG"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-18-00279/4.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 15662026-09-05 09:43 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27239041732026-09-05 10:17 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:37 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#5close
Committed2026-09-05 09:36 UTC · posted 2026-08-19 19:32 UTC
Published hasha9fae97dd3917a1e82e10051f4cbc85eb2cedd4dc6d8a9ffc4729969898d6e02
Previous record's hash4e2216709b01e6e5297c4509cbdeec7eebd9dfaf2783b62fe4565018bec601da
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,295 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-19T19:32:12.000000Z","id":"asv2:43bec4ebb200da273151ac2d9b97fe1c473a0cc1","observed_at":"2026-08-19T19:32:26.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-19T19:32:28.333948Z","semantic":"OBSERVATION","type":"TRADE_CLOSED"},"kind":"close","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"OBSERVATION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-19T19:32:12.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"4e2216709b01e6e5297c4509cbdeec7eebd9dfaf2783b62fe4565018bec601da","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279/5","record_number":"5","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"b03db8c1a8bdfb77eb75469af144891524cddca452c61397e3ff2fa075152d09","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279","source":{"analyst_id":"522797407788859393","channel_id":"1496213146476740708","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1539718648405696632:c9a15e5f6b7a:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1539718648405696632","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-522797407788859393","instrument":"ARBUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"LONG"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-18-00279/5.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 15672026-09-05 09:43 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27239046062026-09-05 10:17 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:37 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#6target_reached
Committed2026-09-05 09:36 UTC · posted 2026-08-19 19:32 UTC
Published hash62c9cf4fc88b81b3f4526ce0cee7b828a67a3ce996d4b50743c981b7be5a6c8b
Previous record's hasha9fae97dd3917a1e82e10051f4cbc85eb2cedd4dc6d8a9ffc4729969898d6e02
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,309 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-19T19:32:12.000000Z","id":"asv2:4d802963e1443f1af13cad95ffabd651ffe7c2cb","observed_at":"2026-08-19T19:32:26.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-19T19:32:28.333948Z","semantic":"OBSERVATION","type":"TARGET_HIT"},"kind":"target_reached","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":"REMAINING","quantity_pct":"10","reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"OBSERVATION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-19T19:32:12.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"a9fae97dd3917a1e82e10051f4cbc85eb2cedd4dc6d8a9ffc4729969898d6e02","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279/6","record_number":"6","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"a915d7670e2d7d6f2bae5f44837df869ca7a5aaf95b0b909b4186bc6685a3cc5","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-18-00279","source":{"analyst_id":"522797407788859393","channel_id":"1496213146476740708","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1539718648405696632:c9a15e5f6b7a:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1539718648405696632","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-522797407788859393","instrument":"ARBUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"LONG"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-18-00279/6.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 15682026-09-05 09:43 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27239052092026-09-05 10:18 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:37 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC

Every record above is published in Axion's public transparency repository, alongside the signing key and a description of the format.

Which engines produced these figures

official-v4
Portfolio
axion-bybit-linear-v4
Policy
4
Policy version
v23
Projector
v1
Calculation
2026-09-06 04:49 UTC
Read at
Policy hash c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031