Skip to content
← The ledger

AXN-2026-08-12-00254

NEARUSDTSHORTBitcoin Wizardposted 2026-08-12 15:48 UTCclosed 2026-08-14 20:49 UTCwin

Everything below comes from Axion's own record of this call. You do not have to take any of it on trust ↓

The result, and where its numbers come from

Every figure here is Trading Core's. This page substitutes them into the formula the methodology publishes; it does not do the division itself.

The R, with the numbers in it
R = (exit − entry)÷(entry − stop),signed for direction
(1.6021.632)÷(1.6321.82)
= +0.16R
Entry the R was measured from1.632
Stop the R was divided by1.82
Exit1.602
Unleveraged price move+1.84%

Entered at market — no price was posted, so the weighted fill price is what the R was measured from.

Which exit, and the market evidence for it
Exit reachedPARTIAL
EvidenceCONFIRMED_CANDLE
VenueBYBIT · NEARUSDT
Exit at2026-08-14 08:00 UTC
Candlevirtual-fill:a1dfc9d004f027e03659853d8272288fe6ac101ccf2a8ca1e686d7e390b8a779

The signal as posted

The structured levels, exactly as they reached the record. The analyst's own message is never reproduced here — only what it said in numbers.

Entries
CMPMARKET
DCADCA1.75
Stop as posted
1.82
CANDLE_CLOSE
Leverage as posted
Targets
TP11.533
TP21.45
TP31.237
TP41.013

Posted as Discord message 1537125593282514985. Open it in Discord

What happened, in order

Every canonical event, including the ones later superseded. They are flagged rather than removed, because there is one attestation record per event and hiding them would leave records below corresponding to nothing.

Opened
2026-08-12 15:48 UTC
Stop moved
2026-08-14 07:59 UTC
Partial taken, 30% of the position
2026-08-14 07:59 UTC

What a follower would have made

A modelled figure, published beside the measured one and never instead of it.

Follower R (net, modelled)+0.15R
Round-trip cost−0.01R
Follower price move+1.69%
Cost as price move−0.15%

Modelled after the fact, not measured: the published R less one round trip of fees and slippage. It assumes no funding cost and no delay between the call being posted and the order being placed, so a real follower who held through a funding window, or who was slower than the analyst, paid more than this.

What that cost was calculated from
Maker fee2 bps
Taker fee5.5 bps
Market slippage2 bps
Stop slippage5 bps
The legs this call resolved to
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was thereTAKER, 5.5 bps fee, 2 bps slippage
EXIT: the analyst closed or trimmed the position by handTAKER, 5.5 bps fee, 2 bps slippage
Every leg in the table
ENTRY: a limit, range or DCA entry, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was thereTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage
ENTRY: a stop entry, which crosses the book when it triggersTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the exit is a published target, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
EXIT: the exit is a stop, break-even includedTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the analyst closed or trimmed the position by handTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage

Funding: not applied. Execution delay: not applied. Read from benchmark policy axion-bybit-linear-v4 v4.

Verify this call yourself

Each record below is a small document that was hashed when it was written, and the hash was published in three places. Your browser recomputes them from the bytes; the anchors are links you follow yourself.

Checking 4 records…

Recomputing each hash in this browser.

#1result
Committed2026-09-05 09:17 UTC
Published hashb3df9cfc2c46d0f2c57b69e56945a2bca43f1c72c1e3fab00660c736dfa6f8aa
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,389 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":null,"kind":"result","levels":null,"posted_at":null,"previous_record_hash":null,"record_id":"AXN-2026-08-12-00254/1","record_number":"1","restates":null,"result":{"calculation_version":"1","classification":"WIN","closed_at":"2026-08-14T20:49:59.999000Z","entry_price":"1.632","evidence_identity":"virtual-fill:a1dfc9d004f027e03659853d8272288fe6ac101ccf2a8ca1e686d7e390b8a779","evidence_kind":"CONFIRMED_CANDLE","evidence_label":"PARTIAL","exit_at":"2026-08-14T08:00:00.000000Z","exit_price":"1.602","exit_reason":"STOP_LOSS","move_pct":"1.84","optimistic_result_hash":"d1c1fb259e1f3b5747f0d5faa2387d26d763925ad6625bd1d26b2331e2057510","outcome_state":"FINAL_STOPPED","policy_hash":"c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031","policy_key":"axion-bybit-linear-v4","policy_version":"4","portfolio":"official-v4","projector_version":"23","r":"0.16","result_key":"d9d2ef050463050db8c6f7cdba3d34c057ae20ee73baa0315bc8de6b9a2f42aa","strict_result_hash":"98108b577473f9c35af112ff07057401e7257b08d8120236968a89c0794f0178","venue":"BYBIT","venue_symbol":"NEARUSDT"},"salt":"a1b4576aa16a583d0efac0bb8cfd5a18cfe98a21dd7e771d875933012d6f9cac","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-12-00254","source":null,"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"NEARUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-12-00254/1.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 7052026-09-05 09:28 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27236024112026-09-05 09:45 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5952026-09-05 13:19 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit f4648ee2026-09-05 13:42 UTC
#2opening
Committed2026-09-05 09:35 UTC · posted 2026-08-12 15:48 UTC
Published hash029eebd91e4461c5a8a2ae087c4a05a283e0d8984ab8eda0df033564460a3463
Previous record's hashb3df9cfc2c46d0f2c57b69e56945a2bca43f1c72c1e3fab00660c736dfa6f8aa
The exact bytes that were hashed (2,309 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-12T15:48:19.000000Z","id":"asv2:7a70973c6c03dc95c87a6082cc81f5ec4f45af66","observed_at":"2026-08-12T15:48:45.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-12T15:48:45.965320Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"TRADE_OPENED"},"kind":"opening","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"CMP","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":null,"price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"MARKET"},{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"DCA","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":"1.75","price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"DCA"}],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":{"at_break_even":false,"candle_interval_minutes":"1440","condition_operator":"CLOSE_ABOVE","price":"1.82","trigger_mode":"CANDLE_CLOSE","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"1.533","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP1","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"1.45","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP2","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"1.237","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP3","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"1.013","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP4","trigger_price_type":"LAST"}]},"posted_at":"2026-08-12T15:48:19.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"b3df9cfc2c46d0f2c57b69e56945a2bca43f1c72c1e3fab00660c736dfa6f8aa","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-12-00254/2","record_number":"2","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"40e62727950c673fce5e6e58a588601f680db906aefebda1412fcb219e8b0fa3","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-12-00254","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1537125593282514985:238c4a4e6622:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1537125593282514985","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"NEARUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-12-00254/2.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 14882026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27238708732026-09-05 10:14 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:34 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#3stop_move
Committed2026-09-05 09:35 UTC · posted 2026-08-14 07:59 UTC
Published hash554ac4e3e38762f0c9cca470c4cfd37305643cf979d493b65424f8c8aab7e314
Previous record's hash029eebd91e4461c5a8a2ae087c4a05a283e0d8984ab8eda0df033564460a3463
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,458 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-14T07:59:32.000000Z","id":"asv2:0b9b75f58e933817c08d64dd9280451533d1e98f","observed_at":"2026-08-14T08:00:10.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-14T08:00:12.598301Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"STOP_MOVED_TO_BREAK_EVEN"},"kind":"stop_move","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":{"at_break_even":true,"candle_interval_minutes":null,"condition_operator":null,"price":null,"trigger_mode":"PRICE_TOUCH","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-14T07:59:32.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"029eebd91e4461c5a8a2ae087c4a05a283e0d8984ab8eda0df033564460a3463","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-12-00254/3","record_number":"3","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"5c227c783fe026de33380ad16ce738e1f7f7c588ee69be3d35b0f2602cd4054e","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-12-00254","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1537732392503218216:8e1abcd612b1:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1537732392503218216","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"NEARUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-12-00254/3.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 14892026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27238722392026-09-05 10:15 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:34 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#4partial
Committed2026-09-05 09:35 UTC · posted 2026-08-14 07:59 UTC
Published hash2356ea8719359851ddeaaad6a8eb8e8098fed66c002f38eff3492d0568f6c640
Previous record's hash554ac4e3e38762f0c9cca470c4cfd37305643cf979d493b65424f8c8aab7e314
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,310 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-14T07:59:32.000000Z","id":"asv2:e9eb8937f2629e724887768842268c03d5b90b9c","observed_at":"2026-08-14T08:00:10.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-14T08:00:12.598301Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"POSITION_REDUCED"},"kind":"partial","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":"REMAINING","quantity_pct":"30","reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-14T07:59:32.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"554ac4e3e38762f0c9cca470c4cfd37305643cf979d493b65424f8c8aab7e314","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-12-00254/4","record_number":"4","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"e950cbd03a2a95fe189cf7173138066e0fc7379601159e07c2d887e40f8d4c60","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-12-00254","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1537732392503218216:8e1abcd612b1:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1537732392503218216","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"NEARUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-12-00254/4.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 14902026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27238730112026-09-05 10:15 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:34 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC

Every record above is published in Axion's public transparency repository, alongside the signing key and a description of the format.

Which engines produced these figures

official-v4
Portfolio
axion-bybit-linear-v4
Policy
4
Policy version
v23
Projector
v1
Calculation
2026-09-06 04:47 UTC
Read at
Policy hash c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031