Skip to content
← The ledger

AXN-2026-08-10-00240

BTCUSDTSHORTBitcoin Wizardposted 2026-08-10 09:25 UTCclosed 2026-08-28 09:50 UTCloss

Everything below comes from Axion's own record of this call. You do not have to take any of it on trust ↓

The result, and where its numbers come from

Every figure here is Trading Core's. This page substitutes them into the formula the methodology publishes; it does not do the division itself.

The R, with the numbers in it
R = (exit − entry)÷(entry − stop),signed for direction
(79,00070,308.73)÷(70,308.7379,000)
= −1.00R
Entry the R was measured from70,308.73
Stop the R was divided by79,000
Exit79,000
Unleveraged price move−12.36%

Laddered entry — R is measured from the average of its fills (70,308.73), not the first level posted (68,691).

Which exit, and the market evidence for it
Exit reachedSL
EvidenceCONFIRMED_CANDLE
VenueBYBIT · BTCUSDT
Exit at2026-08-27 23:59 UTC
Candlevirtual-fill:79c8702f804a6f50d0f60282e6ca80543e16d424655a1f35c0186686f4a4dd1d

The signal as posted

The structured levels, exactly as they reached the record. The analyst's own message is never reproduced here — only what it said in numbers.

Entries
Limit OrderLIMIT68,691
DCADCA72,000
Stop as posted
79,000
CANDLE_CLOSE
Leverage as posted
Targets
TP161,600
TP254,600
TP349,100
TP438,900

Posted as Discord message 1536304440519426048. Open it in Discord

What happened, in order

Every canonical event, including the ones later superseded. They are flagged rather than removed, because there is one attestation record per event and hiding them would leave records below corresponding to nothing.

Opened
2026-08-10 09:25 UTC
Entry filled at 68,691
2026-08-21 06:48 UTC
Entry filled at 72,000
2026-08-21 06:48 UTC
Average entry reported at 70,400
2026-08-21 06:48 UTC
Stopped out
2026-08-28 09:50 UTC

What a follower would have made

A modelled figure, published beside the measured one and never instead of it.

Follower R (net, modelled)−1.01R
Round-trip cost−0.01R
Follower price move−12.50%
Cost as price move−0.14%

Modelled after the fact, not measured: the published R less one round trip of fees and slippage. It assumes no funding cost and no delay between the call being posted and the order being placed, so a real follower who held through a funding window, or who was slower than the analyst, paid more than this.

What that cost was calculated from
Maker fee2 bps
Taker fee5.5 bps
Market slippage2 bps
Stop slippage5 bps
The legs this call resolved to
ENTRY: a limit, range or DCA entry, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps fee
EXIT: the exit is a stop, break-even includedTAKER, 5.5 bps fee, 5 bps slippage
Every leg in the table
ENTRY: a limit, range or DCA entry, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was thereTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage
ENTRY: a stop entry, which crosses the book when it triggersTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the exit is a published target, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
EXIT: the exit is a stop, break-even includedTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the analyst closed or trimmed the position by handTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage

Funding: not applied. Execution delay: not applied. Read from benchmark policy axion-bybit-linear-v4 v4.

Verify this call yourself

Each record below is a small document that was hashed when it was written, and the hash was published in three places. Your browser recomputes them from the bytes; the anchors are links you follow yourself.

Checking 6 records…

Recomputing each hash in this browser.

#1result
Committed2026-09-05 09:17 UTC
Published hash22982807b958fc392b7520fd9e8ab85780ac44fe407f70d2b79aef1efa3cd816
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,402 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":null,"kind":"result","levels":null,"posted_at":null,"previous_record_hash":null,"record_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240/1","record_number":"1","restates":null,"result":{"calculation_version":"1","classification":"LOSS","closed_at":"2026-08-27T23:59:59.999000Z","entry_price":"70308.733333333333333333","evidence_identity":"virtual-fill:79c8702f804a6f50d0f60282e6ca80543e16d424655a1f35c0186686f4a4dd1d","evidence_kind":"CONFIRMED_CANDLE","evidence_label":"SL","exit_at":"2026-08-27T23:59:59.999000Z","exit_price":"79000","exit_reason":"STOP_LOSS","move_pct":"-12.36","optimistic_result_hash":"3a8579b7b06eb5aa1dd4fa45050321850dbc30a8fdd9217efe3115651045007c","outcome_state":"FINAL_STOPPED","policy_hash":"c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031","policy_key":"axion-bybit-linear-v4","policy_version":"4","portfolio":"official-v4","projector_version":"23","r":"-1","result_key":"bf10c62e368083d0e1f91d51d1fd0584398a6facc47cda8492354ae6836a05df","strict_result_hash":"9007d562023e85c0137558090de90b84c8d8d14ff830753b70dee736b732cba4","venue":"BYBIT","venue_symbol":"BTCUSDT"},"salt":"2e4b0bda0d5137546661462c669a24fe568b7b26c6bd235a6ea3a52a90692ba3","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240","source":null,"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"BTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-10-00240/1.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 6922026-09-05 09:28 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27236000572026-09-05 09:45 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5952026-09-05 13:19 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit f4648ee2026-09-05 13:42 UTC
#2opening
Committed2026-09-05 09:35 UTC · posted 2026-08-10 09:25 UTC
Published hash718e597e4e3059f2805e9e504ce1555faa950d2f4f6d3778846f561f9b06099e
Previous record's hash22982807b958fc392b7520fd9e8ab85780ac44fe407f70d2b79aef1efa3cd816
The exact bytes that were hashed (2,321 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-10T09:25:21.000000Z","id":"asv2:b6d7ff862cf84e2e438c365ca46a37630008fde9","observed_at":"2026-08-10T09:25:34.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-10T09:25:35.422411Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"TRADE_OPENED"},"kind":"opening","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"Limit Order","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":"68691","price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"LIMIT"},{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"DCA","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":"72000","price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"DCA"}],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":{"at_break_even":false,"candle_interval_minutes":"1440","condition_operator":"CLOSE_ABOVE","price":"79000","trigger_mode":"CANDLE_CLOSE","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"61600","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP1","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"54600","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP2","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"49100","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP3","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"38900","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP4","trigger_price_type":"LAST"}]},"posted_at":"2026-08-10T09:25:21.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"22982807b958fc392b7520fd9e8ab85780ac44fe407f70d2b79aef1efa3cd816","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240/2","record_number":"2","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"d5304b4cd5cca65f40bdad5b8000659ec393364f20eb3584e05ef9c382d52a81","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1536304440519426048:9bdeae8d0c40:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1536304440519426048","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"BTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-10-00240/2.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 14212026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27238282702026-09-05 10:11 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:33 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#3entry_filled
Committed2026-09-05 09:35 UTC · posted 2026-08-21 06:48 UTC
Published hash66fc223e92b3d89425ae18de51d7f1157ee1dfb14d1f696f16e038cd787ef092
Previous record's hash718e597e4e3059f2805e9e504ce1555faa950d2f4f6d3778846f561f9b06099e
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,315 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:16.000000Z","id":"asv2:161b5d5a32eb9c5116b8ba31872f74e47fe1080c","observed_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:34.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:34.695871Z","semantic":"OBSERVATION","type":"ENTRY_FILLED"},"kind":"entry_filled","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":"Limit Order","leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":"68691","semantic_kind":"OBSERVATION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:16.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"718e597e4e3059f2805e9e504ce1555faa950d2f4f6d3778846f561f9b06099e","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240/3","record_number":"3","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"b47069c6d32832d9a39ad51a009b0320de70981d04505160cc8214a7ed3845dc","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1540251174312345611:fbf17c0fb65d:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1540251174312345611","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"BTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-10-00240/3.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 14222026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27238287382026-09-05 10:11 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:33 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#4entry_filled
Committed2026-09-05 09:35 UTC · posted 2026-08-21 06:48 UTC
Published hash5c97e5b7d219c216f97a263fedaec1deeea4da808399df39adf5c050fbc79c16
Previous record's hash66fc223e92b3d89425ae18de51d7f1157ee1dfb14d1f696f16e038cd787ef092
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,307 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:16.000000Z","id":"asv2:3054a3d93c9663bc92405516fec6f2e7cd1efec9","observed_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:34.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:34.695871Z","semantic":"OBSERVATION","type":"ENTRY_FILLED"},"kind":"entry_filled","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":"DCA","leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":"72000","semantic_kind":"OBSERVATION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:16.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"66fc223e92b3d89425ae18de51d7f1157ee1dfb14d1f696f16e038cd787ef092","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240/4","record_number":"4","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"f5a4d734a95b8061ee4ed43f71f731090a845ba7375cf9ec4417b6dc7ff2a469","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1540251174312345611:fbf17c0fb65d:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1540251174312345611","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"BTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-10-00240/4.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 14232026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27238292952026-09-05 10:11 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:33 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#5average_entry
Committed2026-09-05 09:35 UTC · posted 2026-08-21 06:48 UTC
Published hashf29af151a51e93c5ce70c21b40982da902a1e99b9c2f0735ebd97a573e0cc1b8
Previous record's hash5c97e5b7d219c216f97a263fedaec1deeea4da808399df39adf5c050fbc79c16
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,317 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:16.000000Z","id":"asv2:bded7586a5ed468e52f865cb246165179416260d","observed_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:34.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:34.695871Z","semantic":"OBSERVATION","type":"AVERAGE_ENTRY_REPORTED"},"kind":"average_entry","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":"70400","semantic_kind":"OBSERVATION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-21T06:48:16.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"5c97e5b7d219c216f97a263fedaec1deeea4da808399df39adf5c050fbc79c16","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240/5","record_number":"5","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"e417fde85a176a3d291d3924803254db0b499efc12c442c13326da93fd06c445","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1540251174312345611:fbf17c0fb65d:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1540251174312345611","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"BTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-10-00240/5.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 14242026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27238300032026-09-05 10:11 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:33 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC
#6stopped
Committed2026-09-05 09:35 UTC · posted 2026-08-28 09:50 UTC
Published hash6bb601465c12d51be433439b55bcefc3e87309374d0850ece01756275e78b836
Previous record's hashf29af151a51e93c5ce70c21b40982da902a1e99b9c2f0735ebd97a573e0cc1b8
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,299 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-28T09:50:58.000000Z","id":"asv2:06ea3d2d87b8f32fd1d78075752bd0b31be33350","observed_at":"2026-08-28T09:51:42.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-28T09:51:42.842821Z","semantic":"OBSERVATION","type":"TRADE_STOPPED"},"kind":"stopped","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"OBSERVATION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-28T09:50:58.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"f29af151a51e93c5ce70c21b40982da902a1e99b9c2f0735ebd97a573e0cc1b8","record_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240/6","record_number":"6","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"bbea8d9c53172f80db139c69ab7edc2d3b9d566ff6c72319e7eebc7c03f5c9ec","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-08-10-00240","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1542833868002828328:fbf17c0fb65d:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1542833868002828328","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"BTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-08-10-00240/6.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 14252026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27238304792026-09-05 10:11 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:33 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit 32d893a2026-09-05 13:49 UTC

Every record above is published in Axion's public transparency repository, alongside the signing key and a description of the format.

Which engines produced these figures

official-v4
Portfolio
axion-bybit-linear-v4
Policy
4
Policy version
v23
Projector
v1
Calculation
2026-09-06 04:45 UTC
Read at
Policy hash c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031