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AXN-2026-07-29-00199

LTCUSDTSHORTBitcoin Wizardposted 2026-07-29 04:33 UTCclosed 2026-08-21 07:59 UTCloss

Everything below comes from Axion's own record of this call. You do not have to take any of it on trust ↓

The result, and where its numbers come from

Every figure here is Trading Core's. This page substitutes them into the formula the methodology publishes; it does not do the division itself.

The R, with the numbers in it
R = (exit − entry)÷(entry − stop),signed for direction
(48.8445.15)÷(45.1548.84)
= −1.00R
Entry the R was measured from45.15
Stop the R was divided by48.84
Exit48.84
Unleveraged price move−8.17%

Entered at market — no price was posted, so the weighted fill price is what the R was measured from.

Which exit, and the market evidence for it
Exit reachedSL
EvidenceCONFIRMED_CANDLE
VenueBYBIT · LTCUSDT
Exit at2026-08-21 07:59 UTC
Candlevirtual-fill:da47147752e2d7d2e0f536a9c8ad5065e1d4da9f14660242bd32160bb4ae9316

The signal as posted

The structured levels, exactly as they reached the record. The analyst's own message is never reproduced here — only what it said in numbers.

Entries
CMPMARKET
Stop as posted
48.84
CANDLE_CLOSE
Leverage as posted
Targets
TP143.25
TP241
TP338.1

Posted as Discord message 1531882343462342678. Open it in Discord

What happened, in order

Every canonical event, including the ones later superseded. They are flagged rather than removed, because there is one attestation record per event and hiding them would leave records below corresponding to nothing.

Opened
2026-07-29 04:33 UTC
Note recorded
2026-08-01 20:30 UTC
Note recorded
2026-08-01 20:30 UTC

What a follower would have made

A modelled figure, published beside the measured one and never instead of it.

Follower R (net, modelled)−1.02R
Round-trip cost−0.02R
Follower price move−8.36%
Cost as price move−0.19%

Modelled after the fact, not measured: the published R less one round trip of fees and slippage. It assumes no funding cost and no delay between the call being posted and the order being placed, so a real follower who held through a funding window, or who was slower than the analyst, paid more than this.

What that cost was calculated from
Maker fee2 bps
Taker fee5.5 bps
Market slippage2 bps
Stop slippage5 bps
The legs this call resolved to
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was thereTAKER, 5.5 bps fee, 2 bps slippage
EXIT: the exit is a stop, break-even includedTAKER, 5.5 bps fee, 5 bps slippage
Every leg in the table
ENTRY: a limit, range or DCA entry, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was thereTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage
ENTRY: a stop entry, which crosses the book when it triggersTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the exit is a published target, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
EXIT: the exit is a stop, break-even includedTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the analyst closed or trimmed the position by handTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage

Funding: not applied. Execution delay: not applied. Read from benchmark policy axion-bybit-linear-v4 v4.

Verify this call yourself

Each record below is a small document that was hashed when it was written, and the hash was published in three places. Your browser recomputes them from the bytes; the anchors are links you follow yourself.

Checking 4 records…

Recomputing each hash in this browser.

#1result
Committed2026-09-05 09:17 UTC
Published hash57932e058e29db73eb865c3c37a96607791a7a5e797edb5131bb0aa15bc66f6e
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,382 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":null,"kind":"result","levels":null,"posted_at":null,"previous_record_hash":null,"record_id":"AXN-2026-07-29-00199/1","record_number":"1","restates":null,"result":{"calculation_version":"1","classification":"LOSS","closed_at":"2026-08-21T07:59:59.999000Z","entry_price":"45.15","evidence_identity":"virtual-fill:da47147752e2d7d2e0f536a9c8ad5065e1d4da9f14660242bd32160bb4ae9316","evidence_kind":"CONFIRMED_CANDLE","evidence_label":"SL","exit_at":"2026-08-21T07:59:59.999000Z","exit_price":"48.84","exit_reason":"STOP_LOSS","move_pct":"-8.17","optimistic_result_hash":"c30c45be6309c850e26c15eddb947edbc3718f0f808c04333b5397fd3b7b7fc1","outcome_state":"FINAL_STOPPED","policy_hash":"c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031","policy_key":"axion-bybit-linear-v4","policy_version":"4","portfolio":"official-v4","projector_version":"23","r":"-1","result_key":"a58bd2e2461ef78b8be64b23fb16537342afd123a06a8c7ee25aabba275a8770","strict_result_hash":"ee1409bcf29b3b037254c1bfee7311751785da519672c286f60f0b04a60faee2","venue":"BYBIT","venue_symbol":"LTCUSDT"},"salt":"29c11ca0c9acdac0361581730a3aef41d55d44ae097f3deedfa350ce915ebcfd","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-29-00199","source":null,"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"LTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-29-00199/1.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 6602026-09-05 09:28 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27235909612026-09-05 09:44 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5952026-09-05 13:19 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit f4648ee2026-09-05 13:42 UTC
#2opening
Committed2026-09-05 09:28 UTC · posted 2026-07-29 04:33 UTC
Published hash61c00a9d6d32407c581da2e75f64f9fe19276b288bec9d0b767ac56a82bff17e
Previous record's hash57932e058e29db73eb865c3c37a96607791a7a5e797edb5131bb0aa15bc66f6e
The exact bytes that were hashed (2,006 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-07-29T04:33:31.000000Z","id":"asv2:2b4b211b372893f2dce047c60a41435e5c1613a0","observed_at":"2026-07-29T04:33:38.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-07-29T04:33:40.066890Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"TRADE_OPENED"},"kind":"opening","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"CMP","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":null,"price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"MARKET"}],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":{"at_break_even":false,"candle_interval_minutes":"240","condition_operator":"CLOSE_ABOVE","price":"48.84","trigger_mode":"CANDLE_CLOSE","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"43.25","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP1","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"41","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP2","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"38.1","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP3","trigger_price_type":"LAST"}]},"posted_at":"2026-07-29T04:33:31.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"57932e058e29db73eb865c3c37a96607791a7a5e797edb5131bb0aa15bc66f6e","record_id":"AXN-2026-07-29-00199/2","record_number":"2","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"cfa86e9aed57a00a62c416ad4706f4ee71edd50aa8c2634fdaf7f1b812bf2093","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-29-00199","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1531882343462342678:47013555e877:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1531882343462342678","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"LTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-29-00199/2.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 12342026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27237716682026-09-05 10:04 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:30 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c51f5642026-09-05 13:47 UTC
#3note
Committed2026-09-05 09:28 UTC · posted 2026-08-01 20:30 UTC
Published hasha9d6b07b0c903ac479edeb99622eaa366134ad4467d4fdc45a9b6400d0c7f7a1
Previous record's hash61c00a9d6d32407c581da2e75f64f9fe19276b288bec9d0b767ac56a82bff17e
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,280 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-01T20:30:52.000000Z","id":"asv2:dd7038527dcb1c4297c117ded98fd8b439819068","observed_at":"2026-08-01T20:31:23.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-01T20:31:25.554554Z","semantic":"NOTE","type":"NOTE_ADDED"},"kind":"note","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":"TP1","leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"NOTE","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-01T20:30:52.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"61c00a9d6d32407c581da2e75f64f9fe19276b288bec9d0b767ac56a82bff17e","record_id":"AXN-2026-07-29-00199/3","record_number":"3","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"61f47311e48d85c93c0d88677389787ad2b8ce5f1991f2e0016dbc5cc21f3dff","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-29-00199","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1533210431160844561:6ea10d4cf1ef:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1533210431160844561","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"LTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-29-00199/3.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 12352026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27237718042026-09-05 10:04 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:30 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c51f5642026-09-05 13:47 UTC
#4note
Committed2026-09-05 09:28 UTC · posted 2026-08-01 20:30 UTC
Published hashe318a898b3d055c2b0b1cc374e7a89efc8978e0b219dd0a62dee1ba0d61af170
Previous record's hasha9d6b07b0c903ac479edeb99622eaa366134ad4467d4fdc45a9b6400d0c7f7a1
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,279 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-08-01T20:30:52.000000Z","id":"asv2:e6aa051e82c208cf40af7d92c56eee7a4a03367a","observed_at":"2026-08-01T20:31:23.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-08-01T20:31:25.554554Z","semantic":"NOTE","type":"NOTE_ADDED"},"kind":"note","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"NOTE","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-08-01T20:30:52.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"a9d6b07b0c903ac479edeb99622eaa366134ad4467d4fdc45a9b6400d0c7f7a1","record_id":"AXN-2026-07-29-00199/4","record_number":"4","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"de8fb6444c4ed42679717311d9e3be74b1700029779eac3d53c9ae1326631538","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-29-00199","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1533210431160844561:6ea10d4cf1ef:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1533210431160844561","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"LTCUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-29-00199/4.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 12362026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27237719132026-09-05 10:04 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:30 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit c51f5642026-09-05 13:47 UTC

Every record above is published in Axion's public transparency repository, alongside the signing key and a description of the format.

Which engines produced these figures

official-v4
Portfolio
axion-bybit-linear-v4
Policy
4
Policy version
v23
Projector
v1
Calculation
2026-09-06 04:43 UTC
Read at
Policy hash c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031