Skip to content
← The ledger

AXN-2026-07-14-00156

MANAUSDTSHORTBitcoin Wizardposted 2026-07-14 09:01 UTCclosed 2026-07-14 12:30 UTCwin

Everything below comes from Axion's own record of this call. You do not have to take any of it on trust ↓

The result, and where its numbers come from

Every figure here is Trading Core's. This page substitutes them into the formula the methodology publishes; it does not do the division itself.

The R, with the numbers in it
R = (exit − entry)÷(entry − stop),signed for direction
(0.069220.06966)÷(0.069660.0824)
= +0.03R
Entry the R was measured from0.06966
Stop the R was divided by0.0824
Exit0.06922
Unleveraged price move+0.63%

Entered at market — no price was posted, so the weighted fill price is what the R was measured from.

Which exit, and the market evidence for it
Exit reachedPARTIAL
EvidenceCONFIRMED_CANDLE
VenueBYBIT · MANAUSDT
Exit at2026-07-14 10:24 UTC
Candlevirtual-fill:d1ba1cfded5c82b13dcb8e3c3a9f2cc9cb20a880c4731adb7341b19677fd50f6

The signal as posted

The structured levels, exactly as they reached the record. The analyst's own message is never reproduced here — only what it said in numbers.

Entries
CMPMARKET
DCADCA0.0752
Stop as posted
0.0824
PRICE_TOUCH
Leverage as posted
Targets
TP10.0626
TP20.0564
TP30.0456
TP40.0348

Posted as Discord message 1526513983622746113. Open it in Discord

What happened, in order

Every canonical event, including the ones later superseded. They are flagged rather than removed, because there is one attestation record per event and hiding them would leave records below corresponding to nothing.

Opened
2026-07-14 09:01 UTC
Stop moved
2026-07-14 10:23 UTC
Partial taken, 10% of the position
2026-07-14 10:23 UTC
Stop moved
2026-07-24 14:24 UTC
Partial taken, 30% of the position
2026-07-24 14:24 UTC
Note recorded
2026-07-24 14:24 UTC

What a follower would have made

A modelled figure, published beside the measured one and never instead of it.

Follower R (net, modelled)+0.02R
Round-trip cost−0.01R
Follower price move+0.48%
Cost as price move−0.15%

Modelled after the fact, not measured: the published R less one round trip of fees and slippage. It assumes no funding cost and no delay between the call being posted and the order being placed, so a real follower who held through a funding window, or who was slower than the analyst, paid more than this.

What that cost was calculated from
Maker fee2 bps
Taker fee5.5 bps
Market slippage2 bps
Stop slippage5 bps
The legs this call resolved to
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was thereTAKER, 5.5 bps fee, 2 bps slippage
EXIT: the analyst closed or trimmed the position by handTAKER, 5.5 bps fee, 2 bps slippage
Every leg in the table
ENTRY: a limit, range or DCA entry, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
ENTRY: a market or cmp entry, taken at whatever was thereTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage
ENTRY: a stop entry, which crosses the book when it triggersTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the exit is a published target, which rests in the bookMAKER, 2 bps
EXIT: the exit is a stop, break-even includedTAKER, 5.5 bps + 5 bps slippage
EXIT: the analyst closed or trimmed the position by handTAKER, 5.5 bps + 2 bps slippage

Funding: not applied. Execution delay: not applied. Read from benchmark policy axion-bybit-linear-v4 v4.

Verify this call yourself

Each record below is a small document that was hashed when it was written, and the hash was published in three places. Your browser recomputes them from the bytes; the anchors are links you follow yourself.

Checking 7 records…

Recomputing each hash in this browser.

#1result
Committed2026-09-05 09:17 UTC
Published hash780a735297334db26a4597aac69acc7fb8b4354bd2da54cdb45807d3c6b169d1
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,393 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":null,"kind":"result","levels":null,"posted_at":null,"previous_record_hash":null,"record_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156/1","record_number":"1","restates":null,"result":{"calculation_version":"1","classification":"WIN","closed_at":"2026-07-14T12:30:59.999000Z","entry_price":"0.06966","evidence_identity":"virtual-fill:d1ba1cfded5c82b13dcb8e3c3a9f2cc9cb20a880c4731adb7341b19677fd50f6","evidence_kind":"CONFIRMED_CANDLE","evidence_label":"PARTIAL","exit_at":"2026-07-14T10:24:00.000000Z","exit_price":"0.06922","exit_reason":"STOP_LOSS","move_pct":"0.63","optimistic_result_hash":"68c69887364d991eb3bb8021c1c617d6cd88673cbcb440780fe8999e6fe8ce66","outcome_state":"FINAL_STOPPED","policy_hash":"c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031","policy_key":"axion-bybit-linear-v4","policy_version":"4","portfolio":"official-v4","projector_version":"23","r":"0.03","result_key":"985f34f75b9a5ff17b96f987451e9764d9c304f3cbc0fc82fd0dc5d170bec247","strict_result_hash":"b955b6d44d125a55d0b4546496f86382c1e36108f2bbc9ce91e7bfe2ce013c90","venue":"BYBIT","venue_symbol":"MANAUSDT"},"salt":"4a119e2d773ee9f0ffab78c5b77866394ff9fd9b0db16b928451689b75d9f6cf","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156","source":null,"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"MANAUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-14-00156/1.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 6252026-09-05 09:28 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27235850972026-09-05 09:43 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5952026-09-05 13:18 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit f4648ee2026-09-05 13:42 UTC
#2opening
Committed2026-09-05 09:28 UTC · posted 2026-07-14 09:01 UTC
Published hash2e120c1cf9a1529cb85325296cd238a005e4481dd9aa51ea1eb32a5204be32e2
Previous record's hash780a735297334db26a4597aac69acc7fb8b4354bd2da54cdb45807d3c6b169d1
The exact bytes that were hashed (2,306 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-07-14T09:01:34.000000Z","id":"asv2:c80453651c4d55cebd5159b4426a5db842d526c9","observed_at":"2026-07-14T09:19:53.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-07-14T16:49:47.290700Z","semantic":"UNSPECIFIED","type":"TRADE_OPENED"},"kind":"opening","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"CMP","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":null,"price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"MARKET"},{"allocation_pct":null,"entry_id":"DCA","match_current_position_quantity":false,"price":"0.0752","price_high":null,"price_low":null,"trigger_price_type":"LAST","type":"DCA"}],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"UNSPECIFIED","stop":{"at_break_even":false,"candle_interval_minutes":null,"condition_operator":null,"price":"0.0824","trigger_mode":"PRICE_TOUCH","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"0.0626","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP1","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"0.0564","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP2","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"0.0456","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP3","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},{"close_pct":null,"is_runner":false,"price":"0.0348","quantity_basis":"ORIGINAL","target_id":"TP4","trigger_price_type":"LAST"}]},"posted_at":"2026-07-14T09:01:34.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"780a735297334db26a4597aac69acc7fb8b4354bd2da54cdb45807d3c6b169d1","record_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156/2","record_number":"2","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"061b5b065f12c26c0d7d7664c4665abbf87401e13ded9dda07d885a64f01bf26","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1526513983622746113:4d290d3155d9:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1526513983622746113","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"MANAUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-14-00156/2.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 10532026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27237274822026-09-05 09:58 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:27 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit fea719f2026-09-05 13:46 UTC
#3stop_move
Committed2026-09-05 09:28 UTC · posted 2026-07-14 10:23 UTC
Published hash251148e1add121491873a90a729ee639e8abad14ff9137181b09f461e5c79154
Previous record's hash2e120c1cf9a1529cb85325296cd238a005e4481dd9aa51ea1eb32a5204be32e2
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,458 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-07-14T10:23:03.000000Z","id":"asv2:003d64db5ca1b02bf99925a130128b4ce21ae79f","observed_at":"2026-07-14T12:23:31.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-07-14T16:49:47.367279Z","semantic":"UNSPECIFIED","type":"STOP_MOVED_TO_BREAK_EVEN"},"kind":"stop_move","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"UNSPECIFIED","stop":{"at_break_even":true,"candle_interval_minutes":null,"condition_operator":null,"price":null,"trigger_mode":"PRICE_TOUCH","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-07-14T10:23:03.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"2e120c1cf9a1529cb85325296cd238a005e4481dd9aa51ea1eb32a5204be32e2","record_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156/3","record_number":"3","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"e0857a37da5f6657b38b7a3fb45b5b2a913db5f584f3cf94ba048f61c8cc8f8a","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1526534488383815680:be661b96de66:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1526534488383815680","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"MANAUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-14-00156/3.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 10542026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27237276862026-09-05 09:58 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:27 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit fea719f2026-09-05 13:46 UTC
#4partial
Committed2026-09-05 09:28 UTC · posted 2026-07-14 10:23 UTC
Published hash57bd799bc08cf5fb1a9829a431d0d3d134998cdd2fd5e460b8e9f7600527cf32
Previous record's hash251148e1add121491873a90a729ee639e8abad14ff9137181b09f461e5c79154
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,310 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-07-14T10:23:03.000000Z","id":"asv2:8fb1df68eb9f8d16c820dec4a6fd0cbd8aad2feb","observed_at":"2026-07-14T12:23:31.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-07-14T16:49:47.367279Z","semantic":"UNSPECIFIED","type":"POSITION_REDUCED"},"kind":"partial","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":"REMAINING","quantity_pct":"10","reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"UNSPECIFIED","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-07-14T10:23:03.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"251148e1add121491873a90a729ee639e8abad14ff9137181b09f461e5c79154","record_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156/4","record_number":"4","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"8cc704c8982a9117913724e5b5deb49c68269a1926dd5f0f2b1bb66c0d0fde44","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1526534488383815680:be661b96de66:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1526534488383815680","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"MANAUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-14-00156/4.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 10552026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27237280632026-09-05 09:58 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:27 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit fea719f2026-09-05 13:46 UTC
#5stop_move
Committed2026-09-05 09:28 UTC · posted 2026-07-24 14:24 UTC
Published hash08c33f99faff98cf73d1299b67eb56ea2f122ff50b0e04465e59cea9db2ac2ef
Previous record's hash57bd799bc08cf5fb1a9829a431d0d3d134998cdd2fd5e460b8e9f7600527cf32
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,458 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-07-24T14:24:51.000000Z","id":"asv2:2be77cba9c0bf65555d3e85ff9353c6f8f0befa3","observed_at":"2026-07-24T14:25:02.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-07-24T14:25:04.434344Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"STOP_MOVED_TO_BREAK_EVEN"},"kind":"stop_move","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":{"at_break_even":true,"candle_interval_minutes":null,"condition_operator":null,"price":null,"trigger_mode":"PRICE_TOUCH","trigger_price_type":"LAST"},"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-07-24T14:24:51.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"57bd799bc08cf5fb1a9829a431d0d3d134998cdd2fd5e460b8e9f7600527cf32","record_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156/5","record_number":"5","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"c067e3673d91e1333db27037ab3bfdb1179a88cfcf40ad0a4b7584d50f7cde08","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1530219215938781184:be661b96de66:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1530219215938781184","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"MANAUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-14-00156/5.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 10562026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27237283692026-09-05 09:58 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:27 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit fea719f2026-09-05 13:46 UTC
#6partial
Committed2026-09-05 09:28 UTC · posted 2026-07-24 14:24 UTC
Published hash4baa27bbc8313bd2f456311db68bc6a2c89cedf28ab0d3bcdc7505420a8320ba
Previous record's hash08c33f99faff98cf73d1299b67eb56ea2f122ff50b0e04465e59cea9db2ac2ef
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,310 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-07-24T14:24:51.000000Z","id":"asv2:a4408641a9297cb0691406c6f661fb80ef9ade31","observed_at":"2026-07-24T14:25:02.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-07-24T14:25:04.434344Z","semantic":"INSTRUCTION","type":"POSITION_REDUCED"},"kind":"partial","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":"REMAINING","quantity_pct":"30","reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"INSTRUCTION","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-07-24T14:24:51.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"08c33f99faff98cf73d1299b67eb56ea2f122ff50b0e04465e59cea9db2ac2ef","record_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156/6","record_number":"6","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"a9830c70ec6adbf13510e3ceaa8ebe01072bb6386977f74c17970ef49e6dcee9","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1530219215938781184:be661b96de66:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1530219215938781184","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"MANAUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-14-00156/6.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 10572026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27237289122026-09-05 09:59 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:27 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit fea719f2026-09-05 13:46 UTC
#7note
Committed2026-09-05 09:28 UTC · posted 2026-07-24 14:24 UTC
Published hash837504b03cd70b099ebc3f2f3495b19129c51f84b8eb854aeba323268cba8789
Previous record's hash4baa27bbc8313bd2f456311db68bc6a2c89cedf28ab0d3bcdc7505420a8320ba
The exact bytes that were hashed (1,280 characters)
{"corrected_kind":null,"event":{"effective_at":"2026-07-24T14:24:51.000000Z","id":"asv2:f4b0d7fc60b960c195152f69a913e80505ac9771","observed_at":"2026-07-24T14:25:02.000000Z","origin":"ANALYST_REPORTED","recorded_at":"2026-07-24T14:25:04.434344Z","semantic":"NOTE","type":"NOTE_ADDED"},"kind":"note","levels":{"announced_dca_slots":"0","auto_sl_be_override":null,"entries":[],"label":null,"leverage":null,"quantity_basis":null,"quantity_pct":null,"reference_price":null,"semantic_kind":"NOTE","stop":null,"stop_deferral":null,"targets":[]},"posted_at":"2026-07-24T14:24:51.000000Z","previous_record_hash":"4baa27bbc8313bd2f456311db68bc6a2c89cedf28ab0d3bcdc7505420a8320ba","record_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156/7","record_number":"7","restates":null,"result":null,"salt":"b1189b6963268397d3729995528bd2e4d915744c9e90fdd984be668be101c3ba","schema":"axion-attestation/1","signal_id":"AXN-2026-07-14-00156","source":{"analyst_id":"731235844077387816","channel_id":"1332788339991908432","content_hash":null,"event_key":"1530219215938781184:be661b96de66:0","guild_id":"793098557715906597","message_id":"1530219215938781184","revision":"0","system":"AXIONSIGNAL_V2"},"supersedes":null,"trade":{"analyst":"discord-731235844077387816","instrument":"MANAUSDT","provider":"axion","side":"SHORT"}}
Or check it in a terminal
sha256sum records/AXN-2026-07-14-00156/7.json
Anchors
Public loganchoredlog/2026-09-05.jsonl line 10582026-09-05 09:36 UTC
Sigstore Rekoranchoredlog index 27237293032026-09-05 09:59 UTC
OpenTimestampsanchoredBitcoin block 965,5972026-09-05 13:27 UTC
Proof fileanchoredcommit fea719f2026-09-05 13:46 UTC

Every record above is published in Axion's public transparency repository, alongside the signing key and a description of the format.

Which engines produced these figures

official-v4
Portfolio
axion-bybit-linear-v4
Policy
4
Policy version
v23
Projector
v1
Calculation
2026-09-06 04:47 UTC
Read at
Policy hash c25615a2bb2cf3e3590165216539c05770c26a18926f19f4c3b5c738ba99f031